Bologna vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
17.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
19.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1985 |
PES
1 - 0
BOL
53%
27%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1985 |
BOL
0 - 1
CAG
53%
28%
19%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
BOL
2 - 0
TAR
57%
28%
15%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
ASS
1 - 1
BOL
52%
29%
20%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1984 |
LEC
0 - 0
BOL
53%
29%
19%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1985 |
VAR
2 - 0
PAR
68%
22%
10%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1985 |
TAR
1 - 1
VAR
39%
32%
28%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1984 |
VAR
1 - 1
SSS
55%
28%
17%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1984 |
CES
0 - 0
VAR
58%
26%
16%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1984 |
VAR
2 - 1
ASS
52%
29%
19%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |