Bologna vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9.3%
2-0
14%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
17.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
14.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1983 |
ASS
2 - 1
BOL
35%
31%
34%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1983 |
BOL
0 - 0
USC
64%
23%
12%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1983 |
REG
0 - 0
BOL
37%
31%
32%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1983 |
BOL
2 - 0
LEC
67%
23%
10%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1982 |
BOL
1 - 1
CAT
66%
23%
11%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1983 |
USC
0 - 0
VAR
52%
27%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1983 |
VAR
2 - 1
PRG
53%
27%
20%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1983 |
SSS
0 - 1
VAR
43%
31%
27%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1983 |
VAR
1 - 0
USF
68%
21%
11%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1982 |
PAL
1 - 0
VAR
51%
28%
21%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |