Bologna vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.8%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
11.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1970 |
TOR
1 - 0
BOL
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1970 |
BOL
0 - 0
CAG
49%
27%
25%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1970 |
VAR
0 - 1
BOL
39%
28%
33%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
ROM
1 - 2
BOL
47%
28%
25%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
BOL
1 - 1
SAM
59%
25%
16%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 1970 |
USF
2 - 0
VAR
44%
30%
26%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1970 |
VAR
1 - 1
CAG
34%
30%
36%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1970 |
VAR
1 - 1
CAT
61%
26%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1970 |
TOR
1 - 0
VAR
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1970 |
VAR
1 - 0
REG
57%
26%
17%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |