Bologna vs Varese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
13.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
BOL
0 - 3
ROM
73%
17%
10%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1968 |
BOL
4 - 1
BAS
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
LAZ
1 - 1
BOL
21%
26%
53%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
SPA
0 - 0
BOL
36%
26%
39%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1968 |
TOR
4 - 0
BOL
50%
24%
25%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
MAN
2 - 0
VAR
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1968 |
BRE
1 - 2
VAR
54%
23%
24%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
VAR
0 - 0
PAD
70%
19%
11%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1968 |
ACM
1 - 0
VAR
77%
16%
8%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1968 |
VAR
1 - 1
MAN
56%
26%
17%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |