Bologna vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
6.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1972 |
ASS
1 - 2
BOL
18%
26%
56%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1972 |
BOL
2 - 1
LAZ
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1972 |
BOL
0 - 2
FIO
58%
24%
18%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 1972 |
NAP
2 - 1
BOL
53%
28%
20%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1972 |
LAZ
0 - 1
BOL
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
BAR
0 - 1
CES
64%
21%
15%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1972 |
BAR
0 - 0
LAZ
46%
29%
26%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 1972 |
MOD
0 - 0
BAR
38%
33%
29%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1972 |
BAR
0 - 3
PRG
59%
25%
16%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1972 |
BAR
2 - 2
CAT
58%
26%
17%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |