Bologna vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
10.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
CAT
1 - 0
BOL
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
NAP
1 - 2
BOL
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
BOL
0 - 2
ACM
35%
23%
42%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
VIC
2 - 2
BOL
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
BOL
1 - 1
LAZ
69%
17%
13%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1961 |
BAR
1 - 0
TOR
46%
26%
27%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1961 |
LEC
0 - 0
BAR
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1961 |
BAR
0 - 0
FIO
21%
25%
54%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
BAR
1 - 1
INT
24%
25%
51%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
ROM
1 - 0
BAR
77%
14%
9%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |