Bologna vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.6%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1949 |
BOL
4 - 1
ASL
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1949 |
PAL
0 - 0
BOL
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1949 |
BOL
3 - 1
ACM
39%
24%
37%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
SAM
1 - 1
BOL
63%
20%
18%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1949 |
JUV
2 - 0
BOL
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1949 |
LIV
1 - 0
BAR
49%
25%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1949 |
BAR
0 - 2
ATL
50%
26%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1949 |
ASL
1 - 1
BAR
61%
20%
19%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
PAD
1 - 0
BAR
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1949 |
BAR
1 - 1
TOR
15%
22%
63%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | +1 |