Bologna vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.7%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.9%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.2%
5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1936 |
USA
0 - 1
BOL
51%
23%
26%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1936 |
BOL
3 - 0
TRI
70%
17%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
BOL
1 - 0
PAL
74%
16%
11%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
BAR
0 - 0
BOL
30%
24%
46%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
LAZ
1 - 1
BOL
52%
23%
26%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1936 |
BAR
1 - 1
JUV
26%
25%
49%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1936 |
TOR
2 - 0
BAR
78%
13%
9%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1936 |
INT
2 - 0
BAR
91%
6%
3%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1936 |
BAR
0 - 0
BOL
30%
24%
46%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1936 |
USA
2 - 0
BAR
66%
18%
16%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |