Champions League 1/16
Global 2-2
Bologna vs Anderlecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
24.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1964 |
BOL
3 - 0
MES
82%
12%
6%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
GEN
0 - 0
BOL
34%
27%
39%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
BOL
3 - 0
VIC
77%
14%
9%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
ATL
2 - 0
BOL
35%
27%
38%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 1964 |
AND
1 - 0
BOL
65%
19%
16%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Anderlecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1964 |
STR
1 - 4
AND
24%
23%
53%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1964 |
AND
4 - 1
CER
81%
12%
7%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
BEE
0 - 2
AND
24%
24%
52%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1964 |
AND
1 - 0
BOL
65%
19%
16%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1964 |
AND
6 - 0
ANT
65%
18%
17%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |