Bologna vs Ancona analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.3%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
24.8%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
REG
1 - 0
BOL
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1995 |
USF
0 - 0
BOL
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
BOL
1 - 1
VNZ
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1995 |
BOL
3 - 0
REG
50%
24%
26%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
AVE
1 - 0
BOL
38%
29%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Ancona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1995 |
ANC
2 - 1
BRE
57%
23%
21%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1995 |
PES
0 - 3
ANC
61%
21%
19%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1995 |
ANC
2 - 1
AVE
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1995 |
SAL
1 - 0
ANC
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1995 |
ANC
4 - 0
PRG
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |