Coppa Italia 1/16
Global 4-2
Bologna vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1990 |
ROM
2 - 2
BOL
71%
19%
10%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1990 |
BOL
2 - 4
NAP
27%
29%
44%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1990 |
LEC
1 - 0
BOL
45%
29%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1990 |
BOL
0 - 0
ACM
21%
28%
51%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1990 |
BOL
1 - 0
SAM
29%
29%
42%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 1990 |
COM
1 - 2
REG
50%
27%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1990 |
REG
0 - 1
COM
55%
25%
20%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 1990 |
REG
2 - 2
USF
45%
29%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1990 |
PAR
2 - 0
REG
56%
26%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1990 |
REG
1 - 0
PES
37%
29%
35%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |