Bologna vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
16%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
10.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
BOL
1 - 2
SPE
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2015 |
BOL
1 - 1
PES
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2015 |
PES
0 - 0
BOL
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2015 |
BOL
2 - 3
AVE
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
AVE
0 - 1
BOL
39%
28%
34%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
LAT
1 - 4
PAV
66%
22%
12%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
PAV
3 - 0
USP
74%
18%
8%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 1
PAV
43%
27%
30%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
PAV
1 - 1
REA
67%
20%
13%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2015 |
COM
3 - 0
PAV
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -2 |