Bologna vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
CES
2 - 0
BOL
30%
29%
41%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
BOL
1 - 1
ARZ
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2005 |
ATL
1 - 0
BOL
46%
28%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2005 |
CAT
1 - 1
BOL
34%
30%
37%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
BOL
4 - 1
VIC
75%
17%
8%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
MAN
1 - 0
BRE
28%
27%
45%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
AVE
0 - 0
MAN
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
MAN
1 - 0
TOR
37%
30%
33%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
USC
1 - 2
MAN
29%
26%
45%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
MAN
3 - 0
CAT
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |