Bologna vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
10.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1963 |
NAP
0 - 0
BOL
33%
25%
42%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
BOL
2 - 1
FIO
47%
23%
30%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
INT
4 - 1
BOL
69%
18%
14%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
CAT
1 - 1
BOL
28%
26%
46%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
BOL
4 - 1
SAM
71%
17%
12%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1963 |
MAN
0 - 0
JUV
24%
24%
52%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
MAN
3 - 1
CAT
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
FIO
5 - 0
MAN
72%
17%
11%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
GEN
0 - 0
MAN
57%
22%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
MAN
1 - 3
ACM
19%
23%
58%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |