Bologna vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
18.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2006 |
ARZ
1 - 3
BOL
39%
29%
32%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2006 |
BOL
1 - 1
ATL
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
BOL
2 - 1
CAT
56%
24%
20%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
VIC
2 - 0
BOL
30%
28%
42%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2006 |
BOL
1 - 1
TOR
57%
25%
18%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2006 |
CES
1 - 2
TOR
44%
28%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
CRO
2 - 2
CES
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2006 |
TRI
0 - 1
CES
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2006 |
CES
2 - 2
PIA
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2006 |
BAR
2 - 3
CES
40%
27%
33%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |