Bologna vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.5%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1970 |
BOL
2 - 0
TOR
62%
23%
15%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1970 |
BOL
4 - 0
CAG
49%
27%
24%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1970 |
BOL
4 - 1
VAR
68%
20%
12%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1970 |
TOR
1 - 0
BOL
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 May. 1970 |
BOL
0 - 0
CAG
49%
27%
25%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 1970 |
ARZ
0 - 0
CES
45%
29%
26%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1970 |
CES
2 - 0
PRG
51%
27%
22%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 May. 1970 |
LIV
0 - 1
CES
53%
28%
19%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 May. 1970 |
CES
2 - 1
MOD
54%
27%
20%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1970 |
TER
0 - 0
CES
55%
26%
19%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |