Bologna vs Cesena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.7%
Win probability
3.25
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.9%
6-0
3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.2%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.2%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.9%
5.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
BOL
2 - 0
REG
77%
16%
8%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1969 |
BOL
2 - 1
ACM
44%
27%
29%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
INT
4 - 0
BOL
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
BOL
2 - 0
PAL
71%
19%
10%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
BOL
2 - 0
TOR
52%
27%
21%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
CES
0 - 0
MOD
61%
20%
19%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1969 |
REG
3 - 0
CES
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 1969 |
CES
0 - 0
REG
47%
27%
27%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1969 |
MAN
2 - 0
CES
47%
28%
25%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 1969 |
CES
1 - 0
SPA
55%
25%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |