Bologna U18 vs Fiorentina U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
28.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
11º
10º
43
3º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
58.5% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 59 |
4º
|
89.5% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 54 |
5º
|
93.5% | |
|
8º
|
50 | 53 |
6º
|
54.5% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 52 |
7º
|
25% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
8º
|
46% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
9º
|
31% | |
|
|
10º
|
46 | 49 |
10º
|
85.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
30.5% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
31.5% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
78.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 21 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
9 | 9 |
17º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
SAM
4 - 1
BOL
19%
18%
63%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
BOL
1 - 2
SAS
72%
16%
12%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
INT
1 - 2
BOL
68%
16%
16%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
BOL
1 - 1
LAZ
63%
18%
19%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
GEN
4 - 5
BOL
35%
21%
43%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Fiorentina U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
FIO
0 - 2
EMP
56%
21%
24%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
MIL
1 - 1
FIO
39%
24%
38%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
FIO
2 - 1
LEC
54%
21%
25%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
HEL
2 - 4
FIO
51%
21%
28%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
FIO
4 - 1
FRO
87%
9%
4%
|
28 | 8 | 20 | +1 |