Bologna U17 vs Spezia U17 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
12.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
1º
5º
5º
13
5º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 32 |
6º
|
38.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 32 |
7º
|
38.5% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
13 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 3 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bologna U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
PIS
1 - 3
BOL
15%
18%
68%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
BOL
4 - 2
SAS
73%
16%
11%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
FIO
1 - 2
BOL
53%
22%
25%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
BOL
1 - 0
GEN
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
PIS
1 - 0
BOL
13%
17%
70%
|
31 | 16 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia U17
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
SPE
3 - 3
FIO
21%
22%
57%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 2
SPE
34%
24%
43%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
CRE
0 - 2
SPE
43%
23%
34%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SPE
3 - 1
EMP
27%
24%
50%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
USA
3 - 3
SPE
65%
18%
17%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |