Bolívar vs Universidad Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
IND
1 - 0
BOL
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
BOL
4 - 0
LAR
67%
19%
14%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
BOL
2 - 0
UDV
65%
20%
15%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2022 |
LAR
2 - 3
BOL
31%
23%
46%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
BLO
0 - 7
BOL
22%
23%
54%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Universidad Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
MUS
1 - 2
UCE
32%
25%
43%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2021 |
UCE
3 - 0
OCT
59%
20%
21%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2021 |
BSC
1 - 1
UCE
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
UCE
1 - 0
ORE
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
DEL
0 - 2
UCE
37%
26%
38%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |