Bolívar vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
16.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1993 |
BOL
3 - 1
SAN
70%
17%
13%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1992 |
CCP
3 - 0
BOL
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1992 |
BOL
2 - 0
CCP
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1992 |
CRI
2 - 1
BOL
49%
27%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1992 |
SAO
2 - 0
BOL
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1993 |
COB
1 - 1
UCO
69%
18%
13%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1992 |
AME
1 - 0
UCO
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1992 |
UCO
0 - 0
AME
43%
25%
32%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1992 |
NOB
0 - 0
UCO
61%
23%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1992 |
SLO
2 - 2
UCO
55%
25%
19%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |