Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 6-1
Bolívar vs The Strongest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1994 |
STR
1 - 2
BOL
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1994 |
BOL
2 - 1
MAR
79%
15%
6%
|
76 | 36 | 40 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1994 |
BOL
4 - 0
MIN
82%
13%
5%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1994 |
STR
0 - 0
BOL
38%
26%
36%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1994 |
MAR
0 - 2
BOL
11%
22%
67%
|
76 | 31 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
The Strongest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1994 |
STR
1 - 2
BOL
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1994 |
STR
5 - 0
MAR
79%
15%
7%
|
68 | 35 | 33 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1994 |
STR
7 - 1
MIN
79%
15%
6%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1994 |
STR
0 - 0
BOL
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1994 |
MAR
1 - 1
STR
12%
21%
66%
|
68 | 35 | 33 | 0 |