Bolívar vs Sport Boys Warnes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
8.8%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2014 |
OPE
1 - 0
BOL
43%
27%
30%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
BOL
2 - 0
PET
68%
19%
13%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2014 |
BOL
4 - 2
STR
60%
21%
19%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
BOL
3 - 3
NAC
72%
17%
10%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
BOL
6 - 1
SAN
57%
22%
21%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sport Boys Warnes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SBW
1 - 1
BLO
44%
27%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2014 |
SBW
1 - 1
NAC
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 0
SBW
48%
26%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
RPO
1 - 0
SBW
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
SBW
1 - 1
STR
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |