Bolívar vs Real Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
10.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
4º
1º
12
15º
16º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
34 | 47 |
1º
|
79.5% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 42 |
2º
|
59.5% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 34 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 34 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 34 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 33 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 32 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 32 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 30 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 30 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 26 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 26 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 24 |
13º
|
19.5% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 23 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
12 | 20 |
15º
|
27.5% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 19 |
16º
|
47% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
79.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
20.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2024 |
AUR
1 - 1
BOL
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
BOL
4 - 1
DRT
65%
20%
16%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
FLA
4 - 0
BOL
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
IND
0 - 1
BOL
32%
25%
43%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
MIL
1 - 1
BOL
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -4 |
Matches
Real Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 0
SAC
73%
16%
11%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
SAC
0 - 2
JWI
35%
27%
37%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
SAC
2 - 3
STR
23%
26%
51%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
DRT
2 - 1
SAC
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
ABB
2 - 1
SAC
23%
24%
54%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |