Bolívar vs Real Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.3%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
STR
2 - 1
BOL
58%
20%
23%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
BOL
3 - 0
BLO
76%
15%
9%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
AUR
0 - 1
BOL
8%
15%
77%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
BOL
5 - 0
GUA
83%
12%
6%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 1
BOL
24%
22%
54%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Real Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
SAC
2 - 1
CMV
32%
28%
40%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
OPE
3 - 2
SAC
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2020 |
SAC
1 - 3
JWI
28%
28%
44%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
SAC
0 - 3
REA
34%
27%
39%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2020 |
SAC
3 - 1
RPO
54%
23%
23%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |