Bolívar vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
35.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
PUM
2 - 0
BOL
74%
15%
11%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
BOL
4 - 0
MBB
73%
16%
11%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2002 |
MBB
0 - 5
BOL
39%
26%
36%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2002 |
BOL
7 - 1
JWI
59%
21%
20%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
OPE
3 - 0
BOL
55%
22%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2003 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
DEF
70%
18%
12%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2003 |
PEÑ
2 - 2
GRE
44%
25%
31%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2002 |
PEÑ
3 - 1
DAN
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
NAC
2 - 4
PEÑ
44%
25%
32%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2002 |
CSY
1 - 3
PEÑ
13%
21%
66%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | +1 |