Bolívar vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
62.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
BOL
1 - 0
AUR
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
BLO
0 - 5
BOL
19%
22%
58%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
BOL
4 - 0
OPE
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
STR
3 - 2
BOL
47%
23%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
BOL
3 - 1
ROY
67%
20%
14%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
AGU
2 - 1
PAL
9%
21%
70%
|
90 | 65 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 0
ITU
82%
13%
5%
|
90 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
PAL
1 - 0
SAO
85%
11%
4%
|
90 | 66 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 0
PAL
11%
22%
67%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
PAL
2 - 1
FER
87%
10%
3%
|
90 | 56 | 34 | 0 |