Bolívar vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.2%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
1º
4º
1º
10
11º
16º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
16 | 16 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 16 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 14 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 14 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 14 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 14 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 11 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 11 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 10 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
10 | 10 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 8 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 5 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 4 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
BOL
2 - 1
JWI
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
STR
2 - 1
BOL
48%
23%
29%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
JWI
1 - 2
BOL
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
BOL
4 - 4
STR
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
OPE
0 - 2
BOL
34%
25%
40%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
OPE
1 - 0
DGV
71%
18%
10%
|
67 | 27 | 40 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
OPE
0 - 0
BLO
46%
26%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
DGV
1 - 3
OPE
16%
21%
63%
|
66 | 26 | 40 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2024 |
BLO
2 - 1
OPE
38%
26%
37%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
OPE
0 - 2
BOL
34%
25%
40%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |