Bolívar vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
SAC
1 - 2
BOL
23%
24%
53%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
BOL
3 - 0
GUA
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
NAC
2 - 1
BOL
36%
25%
39%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
GIR
2 - 0
BOL
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
BOL
0 - 4
STR
51%
25%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
OPE
3 - 0
DRT
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
JWI
0 - 1
OPE
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
OPE
0 - 0
CMV
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
IND
1 - 2
OPE
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2022 |
OPE
4 - 1
GUA
45%
25%
30%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |