Conmebol Sudamericana 1/16
Global 4-3
Bolívar vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
27.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
STR
0 - 0
BOL
56%
22%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
BLO
1 - 1
BOL
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
BOL
2 - 1
RPO
56%
22%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2002 |
GUA
2 - 2
BOL
36%
26%
38%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
BOL
5 - 1
UNI
61%
20%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
OPE
4 - 1
SAN
68%
18%
14%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2002 |
STR
4 - 3
OPE
54%
22%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
RPO
3 - 3
OPE
56%
21%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
OPE
2 - 4
BLO
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2002 |
OPE
1 - 1
GUA
60%
20%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |