Bolívar vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
11.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 1997 |
SPC
3 - 0
BOL
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1997 |
BOL
2 - 1
SPC
61%
21%
18%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1997 |
BOL
7 - 0
MIN
86%
11%
4%
|
76 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1997 |
MIN
1 - 1
BOL
11%
22%
67%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1997 |
CCP
2 - 0
BOL
42%
29%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1997 |
OPE
1 - 5
UCO
33%
27%
41%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1997 |
UCO
4 - 0
OPE
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1997 |
CCP
2 - 1
OPE
55%
26%
20%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1997 |
GUA
0 - 0
OPE
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1997 |
BOL
3 - 3
OPE
75%
15%
10%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |