Bolívar vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.6%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
10.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1997 |
BOL
3 - 1
CCP
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1997 |
BOL
4 - 1
GUA
64%
19%
17%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1997 |
OPE
0 - 4
BOL
35%
27%
38%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1995 |
PAL
3 - 0
BOL
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1995 |
BOL
1 - 0
PAL
35%
28%
37%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 1997 |
OPE
1 - 0
CCP
41%
25%
34%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1997 |
OPE
4 - 1
GUA
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1997 |
OPE
0 - 4
BOL
35%
27%
38%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1991 |
CCP
2 - 0
OPE
61%
21%
18%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1991 |
OPE
1 - 1
CCP
43%
25%
33%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |