Bolívar vs Nacional Potosí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
9.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
ROY
1 - 0
BOL
8%
16%
76%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 5
BOL
37%
23%
40%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
BOL
3 - 1
CMV
77%
13%
10%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
BOL
2 - 2
ROY
84%
11%
5%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 2019 |
SBW
1 - 3
BOL
9%
17%
74%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional Potosí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2020 |
NAC
4 - 2
CMV
45%
27%
29%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
OPE
1 - 0
NAC
40%
26%
34%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 0
JWI
32%
25%
42%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2019 |
REA
3 - 2
NAC
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -2 |
| 25 Dec. 2019 |
NAC
1 - 2
RPO
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |