Bolívar vs Nacional Potosí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
12%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
15.8%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+62%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 1
BOL
40%
27%
33%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
BOL
1 - 1
AUR
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 2
BOL
54%
24%
23%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 0
BOL
61%
21%
18%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
BOL
1 - 0
BLO
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional Potosí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
NAC
4 - 1
GUA
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 0
UNI
44%
26%
29%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
AUR
3 - 1
NAC
51%
25%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
NAC
3 - 0
SAN
32%
25%
43%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
BLO
1 - 0
NAC
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |