Bolívar vs Montevideo Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
24.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
3 - 1
BOL
29%
24%
48%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
MWA
1 - 0
BOL
30%
22%
48%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -6 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
CRZ
1 - 0
BOL
34%
25%
41%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2020 |
BOL
4 - 1
OPE
77%
15%
8%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2020 |
JWI
2 - 0
BOL
32%
23%
45%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Montevideo Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2021 |
PLA
3 - 0
MWA
36%
27%
37%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
MWA
1 - 0
BOL
30%
22%
48%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
MWA
2 - 8
TOR
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
RIV
1 - 1
MWA
49%
25%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
MWA
0 - 1
PEÑ
42%
27%
31%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |