Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 8-1
Bolívar vs Minervén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.6%
4-0
10%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
14.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.7%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
10.6%
3.6%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1997 |
MIN
1 - 1
BOL
11%
22%
67%
|
76 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1997 |
CCP
2 - 0
BOL
42%
29%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1997 |
GUA
3 - 1
BOL
42%
27%
31%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 1997 |
BOL
3 - 3
OPE
75%
15%
10%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1997 |
BOL
3 - 1
CCP
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Minervén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1997 |
MIN
1 - 1
BOL
11%
22%
67%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1997 |
MIN
1 - 2
COL
26%
29%
45%
|
51 | 79 | 28 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1997 |
MIN
1 - 0
UCO
10%
21%
69%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 1997 |
MIN
1 - 0
MIN
19%
24%
58%
|
48 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1997 |
COL
1 - 0
MIN
88%
9%
2%
|
48 | 78 | 30 | 0 |