Bolívar vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
DGV
2 - 1
BOL
11%
20%
69%
|
73 | 28 | 45 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
PAL
0 - 4
BOL
55%
21%
24%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +2 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
BOL
4 - 2
OPE
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
BOL
2 - 1
JWI
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
STR
2 - 1
BOL
48%
23%
29%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
MIL
1 - 1
FLA
16%
23%
61%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 2
MIL
45%
27%
29%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
MIL
3 - 1
SFE
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
MIL
1 - 1
CAL
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
ENV
1 - 1
MIL
33%
28%
40%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |