Copa Libertadores Last 16
Global 3-3
Bolívar vs Millonarios analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1989 |
PEÑ
5 - 0
BOL
82%
11%
7%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1989 |
DAN
1 - 0
BOL
53%
22%
26%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1989 |
STR
0 - 0
BOL
44%
23%
33%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1989 |
BOL
3 - 1
DAN
65%
18%
17%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1989 |
BOL
3 - 0
PEÑ
3%
31%
66%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Millonarios
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 1989 |
MIL
4 - 1
EME
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1989 |
MIL
3 - 1
QUI
64%
19%
18%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1989 |
NAC
0 - 2
MIL
54%
22%
24%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1989 |
QUI
0 - 0
MIL
57%
21%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1989 |
EME
0 - 2
MIL
60%
20%
20%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |