Bolívar vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
19.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
BOL
4 - 2
CUE
49%
21%
30%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
BOL
7 - 1
GUA
57%
20%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1976 |
LIG
2 - 1
BOL
69%
17%
14%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
CUE
3 - 1
BOL
65%
18%
17%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
GUA
1 - 0
BOL
56%
20%
23%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
GUA
0 - 1
LIG
42%
23%
35%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
CUE
0 - 0
LIG
53%
21%
26%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1976 |
LIG
2 - 1
BOL
69%
17%
14%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 1976 |
LIG
4 - 0
GUA
66%
18%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1976 |
LIG
1 - 1
CUE
63%
18%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |