Conmebol Sudamericana Last 16
Global 3-1
Bolívar vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
28%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
CIP
0 - 1
BOL
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2002 |
OPE
1 - 0
BOL
53%
22%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
SAN
0 - 3
BOL
38%
25%
37%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2002 |
BOL
4 - 2
OPE
51%
22%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
STR
0 - 0
BOL
56%
22%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2002 |
AME
3 - 2
LIB
24%
26%
50%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2002 |
LIB
1 - 0
CCP
61%
20%
19%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
LIB
1 - 1
REC
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2002 |
CCP
0 - 2
LIB
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2002 |
LIB
1 - 1
CCP
55%
22%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |