Bolívar vs Junior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
33.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
BOL
2 - 0
BLO
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2021 |
BOL
1 - 0
RPO
76%
15%
9%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2021 |
BOL
5 - 0
MWA
54%
22%
25%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
3 - 1
BOL
29%
24%
48%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2021 |
MWA
1 - 0
BOL
30%
22%
48%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -7 |
Matches
Junior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
JUN
0 - 0
AGU
56%
25%
19%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
JAG
0 - 2
JUN
19%
26%
54%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
JUN
1 - 1
SFE
43%
28%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
TOL
0 - 1
JUN
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
JUN
3 - 0
PER
61%
23%
16%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |