Bolívar vs Juan Aurich Chiclayo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
27.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
REA
1 - 3
BOL
33%
27%
40%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
BOL
1 - 2
JWI
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
ALI
1 - 0
BOL
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
LAP
0 - 1
BOL
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
STR
2 - 2
BOL
49%
25%
27%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Juan Aurich Chiclayo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
CIE
0 - 0
AUR
44%
26%
30%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 1
TOT
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
HUA
2 - 1
AUR
46%
27%
27%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
AUR
2 - 3
VAL
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2010 |
AUR
0 - 2
EST
33%
26%
41%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |