Bolívar vs Jorge Wilstermann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
1º
4º
1º
20
2º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
30 | 44 |
1º
|
58.5% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 41 |
2º
|
46% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 35 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 32 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 32 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
5º
|
20 | 31 |
6º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 31 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
|
6º
|
20 | 31 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 31 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
18 | 29 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 27 |
11º
|
17% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 26 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 24 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 23 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
15º
|
11 | 22 |
15º
|
30% | |
|
16º
|
9 | 20 |
16º
|
56% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
58.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
41.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ROY
0 - 1
BOL
28%
25%
47%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
BOL
4 - 0
DGV
80%
13%
7%
|
70 | 37 | 33 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
BOL
50%
23%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
BOL
0 - 0
REA
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
BLO
0 - 5
BOL
33%
25%
42%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
JWI
2 - 1
DRT
51%
26%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
OPE
1 - 0
JWI
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
JWI
2 - 0
ROY
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
JWI
0 - 1
ABB
62%
23%
16%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 0
JWI
58%
22%
20%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |