Bolívar vs Jorge Wilstermann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.7%
12.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 1984 |
UCO
3 - 1
BOL
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1984 |
OHI
0 - 0
BOL
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1984 |
BLO
2 - 1
BOL
49%
22%
28%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1984 |
BOL
5 - 1
OHI
71%
16%
13%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1984 |
BOL
3 - 2
UCO
55%
21%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1982 |
STR
1 - 1
JWI
69%
17%
13%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1982 |
BOC
2 - 2
JWI
92%
6%
2%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1982 |
RIV
3 - 0
JWI
89%
7%
4%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 1982 |
JWI
0 - 1
RIV
8%
22%
70%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1982 |
JWI
1 - 2
STR
42%
23%
35%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |