Bolívar vs Jorge Wilstermann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
16.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1977 |
NAC
1 - 0
BOL
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1977 |
CAL
3 - 0
BOL
61%
19%
20%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1977 |
OPE
0 - 0
BOL
53%
21%
26%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1977 |
BOL
3 - 0
NAC
59%
20%
21%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1977 |
BOL
3 - 0
CAL
50%
21%
29%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Jorge Wilstermann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1975 |
HUA
4 - 0
JWI
59%
20%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1975 |
UNI
4 - 1
JWI
60%
19%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1975 |
JWI
1 - 1
STR
45%
23%
33%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1975 |
JWI
1 - 1
UNI
50%
23%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1975 |
JWI
0 - 0
HUA
47%
22%
31%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |