Bolívar vs Independiente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
16.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BOL
4 - 1
DRT
68%
19%
12%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BOL
2 - 0
UDV
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
BOL
3 - 0
BLO
66%
20%
15%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
BOL
3 - 0
REA
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 3
BOL
17%
22%
61%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BLO
1 - 0
IND
36%
25%
40%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
IND
3 - 0
ROY
46%
25%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
UDV
4 - 1
IND
34%
26%
40%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
IND
1 - 1
STR
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
CMV
2 - 1
IND
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |