Bolívar vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
25.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1967 |
BOL
0 - 2
RAC
44%
24%
32%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1967 |
BOL
3 - 3
RIV
44%
24%
32%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 1967 |
BOL
1 - 0
OCT
81%
11%
8%
|
73 | 20 | 53 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1967 |
RIV
6 - 2
IND
71%
17%
12%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1967 |
RAC
5 - 2
IND
72%
17%
12%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1967 |
IND
0 - 1
RIV
42%
24%
34%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1967 |
IND
0 - 2
RAC
45%
24%
31%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
SFE
2 - 0
IND
57%
21%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |