Bolívar vs GV San Jose analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.2%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
6.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+230%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
4º
1º
24
4º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
37 | 47 |
1º
|
90.5% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 40 |
2º
|
69% | |
|
3º
|
26 | 36 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 33 |
4º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 32 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 32 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 31 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 31 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 29 |
9º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
24 | 29 |
10º
|
17% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 29 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 26 |
12º
|
22.5% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 20 |
14º
|
35% | |
|
15º
|
12 | 19 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 19 |
16º
|
39.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
90.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
9.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
BOL
50%
23%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
BOL
0 - 0
REA
61%
21%
18%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
BLO
0 - 5
BOL
33%
25%
42%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
ALI
2 - 3
BOL
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2024 |
BOL
3 - 1
PAL
51%
22%
28%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
GV San Jose
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
DGV
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 65 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
DGV
5 - 2
STR
20%
25%
55%
|
34 | 70 | 36 | +3 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
AUR
2 - 1
DGV
71%
18%
10%
|
34 | 70 | 36 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2024 |
SAC
2 - 3
DGV
70%
18%
12%
|
33 | 60 | 27 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2024 |
DGV
2 - 0
ABB
20%
23%
58%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | +2 |