Bolívar vs Estudiantes La Plata analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
21.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 0
BOL
39%
25%
36%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
BOL
2 - 2
STR
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2005 |
BLO
4 - 2
BOL
38%
26%
37%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
BOL
4 - 3
LAP
74%
16%
10%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2005 |
BOL
3 - 1
OPE
68%
19%
14%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Estudiantes La Plata
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
EST
2 - 2
ARG
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2006 |
SLO
1 - 2
EST
57%
23%
19%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2006 |
EST
4 - 1
INS
68%
20%
13%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2005 |
EST
2 - 2
LAN
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
CEN
1 - 1
EST
49%
27%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |