Bolívar vs Aurora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.7%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.7%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
6.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bolívar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
REA
1 - 1
BOL
27%
25%
48%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
BOL
3 - 0
GUA
75%
15%
10%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
BOL
4 - 1
BLO
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 1
BOL
37%
23%
40%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
BOL
2 - 3
SAN
55%
22%
23%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aurora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
AUR
3 - 4
BLO
26%
26%
48%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 1
AUR
74%
17%
10%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
AUR
0 - 2
SAN
18%
23%
59%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
DES
0 - 0
AUR
46%
26%
28%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
AUR
1 - 2
JWI
21%
25%
54%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |